Moss vs Sogndal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
ELP
2 - 0
MOS
65%
20%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
MOS
6 - 2
TRO
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
POR
0 - 0
MOS
37%
25%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
MOS
1 - 2
KON
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
MOS
1 - 1
BOG
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sogndal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
HAU
2 - 0
SOG
36%
25%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
SOG
2 - 2
ELP
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
TRO
1 - 1
SOG
26%
24%
49%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
SOG
2 - 3
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
SOG
2 - 0
KON
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |