Moss vs Skeid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
ODD
1 - 0
MOS
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1999 |
MOS
2 - 0
STB
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +2 |
| 11 Jul. 1999 |
VKG
1 - 1
MOS
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
MOS
1 - 4
RBK
12%
18%
70%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1999 |
RBK
4 - 1
MOS
87%
9%
4%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Skeid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
STR
3 - 1
SKE
65%
19%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1999 |
SKE
3 - 1
ODD
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +2 |
| 11 Jul. 1999 |
VIF
2 - 2
SKE
75%
16%
10%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
SKE
1 - 3
STB
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1999 |
SKE
1 - 3
BOG
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |