Moss vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
53.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
RAN
1 - 0
MOS
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MOS
0 - 3
BRY
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
MOS
1 - 3
LOV
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SOG
2 - 0
MOS
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MOS
2 - 0
ALT
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
S08
1 - 0
TRO
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
S08
0 - 3
STR
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
RAN
0 - 3
S08
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
S08
0 - 0
BRY
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
S08
3 - 2
LOV
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |