Moss vs Notodden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
MOS
2 - 1
SOG
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
LOV
1 - 2
MOS
39%
26%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
MOS
2 - 0
RAU
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
BRY
1 - 2
MOS
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
MOS
0 - 0
MFK
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
NOT
2 - 3
BOG
22%
24%
54%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
SOG
1 - 1
NOT
62%
20%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
NOT
0 - 3
KON
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
LOV
5 - 2
NOT
43%
25%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
NOT
4 - 3
SKE
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |