Moss vs Mo IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
MOS
0 - 1
VAL
61%
19%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
FOL
0 - 0
MOS
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
MOS
2 - 3
SKE
55%
21%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
FIN
2 - 1
MOS
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
MOS
0 - 0
KFU
48%
23%
29%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mo IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
DRO
6 - 2
MOI
30%
22%
48%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
MOI
0 - 3
EID
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 0
MOI
64%
18%
17%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
MOI
0 - 0
LOR
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
KJE
7 - 1
MOI
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |