Moss vs IK Start analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
10º
8º
13
10º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
24 | 60 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 53 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 51 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 51 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 46 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 45 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 45 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 41 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 37 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 35 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 33 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 32 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 28 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 27 |
16º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
34% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 76% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
RAU
0 - 2
MOS
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MOS
3 - 3
STB
17%
22%
61%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 3
MOS
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 2
EGE
28%
25%
48%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
RIL
2 - 1
MOS
9%
15%
77%
|
55 | 16 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
IK Start
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
IKS
4 - 3
EGE
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ASA
1 - 0
IKS
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
IKS
0 - 0
RAN
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KON
3 - 0
IKS
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
IKS
1 - 1
SAN
59%
22%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |