Moss vs Hødd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 1
MOS
25%
25%
51%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
MOS
1 - 1
TRO
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
BOG
1 - 2
MOS
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
MOS
1 - 3
KON
50%
24%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
SKE
2 - 2
MOS
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Hødd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
HOD
2 - 0
SPA
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
HOD
4 - 2
NAR
86%
10%
4%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
AIL
0 - 5
HOD
11%
19%
71%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
HOD
9 - 0
STA
81%
13%
7%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
STE
1 - 1
HOD
22%
23%
55%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |