Moss vs Haugesund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
SOG
1 - 0
MOS
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
MOS
0 - 5
ELP
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
TRO
4 - 2
MOS
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
MOS
4 - 0
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
KON
1 - 0
MOS
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Haugesund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
HAU
0 - 2
STR
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
SOG
2 - 1
HAU
57%
21%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
HAU
4 - 0
MAN
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
ELP
2 - 1
HAU
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
HAU
1 - 0
FOL
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |