Moss vs Grorud IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FRA
0 - 1
MOS
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 2
MOS
32%
23%
45%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MOS
3 - 0
FOL
28%
22%
50%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SKE
1 - 3
MOS
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MOS
0 - 0
FIN
67%
18%
16%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Grorud IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LYN
0 - 2
GRO
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
HON
2 - 1
GRO
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 1
ASA
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
STA
3 - 3
GRO
53%
22%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FAN
4 - 4
GRO
47%
23%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |