Moss vs FK Tønsberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
STR
1 - 3
MOS
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2005 |
MOS
4 - 2
FOL
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
MOS
1 - 0
ALT
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
STB
0 - 1
MOS
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
MOS
1 - 2
HON
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FK Tønsberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
STB
1 - 1
FKT
86%
11%
3%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
FKT
1 - 1
ALT
55%
21%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
FKT
1 - 1
HON
15%
21%
64%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
SKE
4 - 0
FKT
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
BRY
2 - 0
FKT
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |