Moss vs FK Arendal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FFK
0 - 1
MOS
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
MOS
0 - 1
BYA
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
BRY
0 - 1
MOS
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MOS
2 - 1
VID
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
STB
3 - 1
MOS
65%
19%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FKA
2 - 3
BRA
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FKA
4 - 1
SOL
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
STB
4 - 0
FKA
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FKA
2 - 1
FFK
30%
26%
45%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
BYA
2 - 7
FKA
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |