Moss vs Elverum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MOS
3 - 1
SEN
57%
20%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NES
1 - 1
MOS
39%
23%
38%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MOS
1 - 4
KVI
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MOS
4 - 2
STR
75%
15%
10%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
STA
1 - 2
MOS
31%
23%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Elverum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
STR
0 - 5
ELV
46%
23%
31%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ELV
2 - 2
FRA
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NYB
0 - 0
ELV
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ELV
3 - 0
BRU
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ELV
2 - 3
FRI
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |