Moss vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
ASK
1 - 0
MOS
51%
21%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
MOS
0 - 2
ALT
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
GRO
1 - 3
MOS
44%
23%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
MOS
3 - 1
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
NYB
2 - 1
MOS
21%
20%
59%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
RAU
2 - 1
BAR
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
ASK
46%
23%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
5 - 0
FRA
55%
21%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 2
BAR
59%
20%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 3
ODD
65%
18%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |