Moss vs Alta IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
MOS
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
MOS
0 - 1
NYB
42%
24%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
MOS
1 - 3
RAN
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
FFK
1 - 1
MOS
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
S08
4 - 1
MOS
65%
20%
16%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Alta IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
TRO
0 - 2
ALT
43%
24%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
ALT
7 - 3
MJO
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
LOV
4 - 2
ALT
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2010 |
ALT
3 - 1
MOS
42%
23%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
BOG
2 - 0
ALT
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |