Mosqueo vs Arahal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
56.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosqueo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ROC
4 - 1
MSQ
74%
17%
10%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 0
MSQ
59%
21%
21%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MSQ
1 - 1
CDD
42%
24%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
MSQ
2 - 1
MAI
10%
19%
71%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 1
MSQ
75%
16%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ARH
1 - 4
UDR
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 0
ARH
69%
18%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ARH
2 - 0
ADS
36%
24%
40%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
EST
3 - 1
ARH
50%
23%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
DHM
5 - 0
ARH
75%
14%
10%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |