Mosor vs Vinogradar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
RUD
1 - 1
MOS
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MOS
0 - 0
LUK
33%
28%
40%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
NKD
0 - 1
MOS
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
MOS
2 - 0
HAS
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
NKZ
1 - 0
MOS
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vinogradar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
VIN
2 - 1
NKR
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
LUK
0 - 1
VIN
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PRI
1 - 0
VIN
19%
23%
57%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
SOL
2 - 1
VIN
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
VIN
1 - 1
RUD
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |