Mosjøen vs Rana FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
69.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
12º
14º
14º
53
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 59 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 56 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 53 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 42 |
4º
|
53.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 41 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 39 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
51% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 31 |
10º
|
73% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 25 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 25 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 76% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 24% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosjøen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
ROS
2 - 1
MOS
79%
12%
9%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 2
VER
39%
22%
39%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
MEL
3 - 0
MOS
73%
15%
11%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
STA
8 - 0
MOS
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SUR
2 - 1
MOS
27%
19%
54%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rana FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RFK
3 - 1
STA
57%
19%
24%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 2
RFK
24%
19%
57%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
RFK
0 - 2
SUR
86%
9%
5%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ORK
0 - 3
RFK
25%
19%
56%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
SKT
4 - 1
RFK
18%
18%
64%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -2 |