Mosjøen vs Kolstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
40.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
12º
7º
10
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosjøen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
STR
4 - 1
MOS
86%
9%
5%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MOS
3 - 2
TLI
95%
4%
1%
|
21 | 5 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ORK
0 - 0
MOS
48%
20%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MOS
3 - 1
FBG
19%
19%
62%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
RFK
3 - 0
MOS
76%
13%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Kolstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
KOL
3 - 2
KBK
47%
21%
32%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
RFK
5 - 2
KOL
70%
15%
15%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 6
BYA
17%
18%
65%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TIL
2 - 1
KOL
55%
19%
25%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 5
NAR
15%
20%
65%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -2 |