Mosgiel vs Nomads Utd analysis

Mosgiel Nomads Utd
29 ELO 21
11.8% Tilt 10.4%
27037º General ELO ranking 27035º
46º Country ELO ranking 45º
ELO win probability
73.6%
Mosgiel
14.5%
Draw
11.9%
Nomads Utd

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
Mosgiel
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11.9%
Win probability
Nomads Utd
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mosgiel
+8%
+62%
Nomads Utd

ELO progression

Mosgiel
Nomads Utd
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mosgiel
Mosgiel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2022
NSF
Nelson Suburbs
3 - 0
Mosgiel
MOS
37%
21%
42%
30 26 4 0
02 Apr. 2022
MOS
Mosgiel
1 - 3
Ferrymead Bays
FER
83%
11%
6%
32 19 13 -2
26 Mar. 2022
SCR
Dunedin City Royals
2 - 0
Mosgiel
MOS
46%
21%
34%
33 33 0 -1
23 Oct. 2021
GIA
Green Island
4 - 4
Mosgiel
MOS
47%
21%
33%
33 32 1 0
16 Oct. 2021
MOS
Mosgiel
0 - 3
Green Island
GIA
61%
18%
21%
34 30 4 -1

Matches

Nomads Utd
Nomads Utd
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2022
NOM
Nomads Utd
1 - 0
Selwyn United
SUF
47%
22%
32%
21 21 0 0
09 Apr. 2022
NOM
Nomads Utd
0 - 6
Cashmere Technical
CAS
5%
13%
82%
21 52 31 0
02 Apr. 2022
GIA
Green Island
1 - 0
Nomads Utd
NOM
75%
14%
11%
22 30 8 -1
03 Jul. 2021
SUF
Selwyn United
2 - 0
Nomads Utd
NOM
20%
19%
61%
23 16 7 -1
26 Jun. 2021
NOM
Nomads Utd
0 - 3
Cashmere Technical
CAS
7%
14%
79%
23 51 28 0