Mosgiel vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
50.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosgiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
FER
4 - 0
MOS
24%
20%
56%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 2
DUN
62%
19%
20%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
MOS
0 - 2
SCR
45%
21%
34%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
ROW
1 - 2
MOS
37%
21%
42%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
MOS
0 - 4
CHR
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
NSF
1 - 3
CAS
10%
16%
75%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
NSF
1 - 1
COA
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
GIA
1 - 3
NSF
32%
21%
47%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
FCN
0 - 6
NSF
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 59 | 33 | +3 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
CAS
4 - 1
NSF
90%
7%
2%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | -1 |