Morud vs Aalborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.3%
1-0
0.7%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
1.6%
5.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.5%
92.4%
Win probability
3.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.5%
0-4
11.6%
1-5
4.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
17%
0-5
8.9%
1-6
2.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
12.2%
0-6
5.6%
1-7
1.6%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
7.4%
0-7
3.1%
1-8
0.8%
2-9
0.1%
-7
3.9%
0-8
1.5%
1-9
0.3%
2-10
0%
-8
1.8%
0-9
0.6%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.7%
0-10
0.2%
-10
0.2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 2
TAR
10%
14%
77%
|
5 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 5
NAS
8%
12%
80%
|
7 | 46 | 39 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 5
OTB
9%
15%
76%
|
5 | 21 | 16 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 7
MAR
7%
13%
80%
|
5 | 49 | 44 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 2
KOL
11%
17%
72%
|
6 | 40 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RAN
1 - 0
AAB
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AAB
0 - 4
AGF
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AAB
0 - 4
BIF
33%
25%
43%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
VFF
2 - 3
AAB
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MID
2 - 0
AAB
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |