Morteau Montlebon vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
12º
10º
33
3º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
79% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
74% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
74% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morteau Montlebon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
BFC
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
JUR
25%
24%
51%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
DIJ
0 - 0
MOR
66%
19%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 4
SOC
29%
25%
47%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
FCG
57%
21%
23%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCG
5 - 1
APO
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 6
FCG
9%
17%
74%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCG
0 - 0
PON
38%
25%
37%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SOC
2 - 0
FCG
59%
22%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SEL
3 - 2
FCG
46%
25%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |