Mortágua vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
43.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PAM
1 - 1
MOR
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOU
32%
25%
42%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 3
MOR
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 0
POM
24%
23%
53%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +3 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
MOR
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 3
NAV
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 1
SOU
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PAM
1 - 1
VIT
48%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 1
TOU
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 0
VIT
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |