Mortágua vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
14º
8º
17
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 2
MOR
44%
21%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 1
SER
37%
27%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 4
USA
20%
24%
55%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 0
PEN
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
UFT
0 - 2
USA
23%
24%
53%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
5 - 1
UFT
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
UFT
2 - 4
PEN
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 1
UFT
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UFT
0 - 2
GOU
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |