Mortágua vs Sourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 2
MOR
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
VIT
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PAM
1 - 1
MOR
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOU
32%
25%
42%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 3
MOR
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
TOU
0 - 0
SOU
33%
28%
39%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 0
NAV
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
OLI
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 1
SOU
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 0
POM
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |