Mortágua vs Sintrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
43%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
9º
8º
38
1º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
USA
4 - 1
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 2
BEN
35%
28%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 2
MAR
37%
29%
34%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
1DE
1 - 0
MOR
42%
27%
30%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
SAB
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sintrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SIN
3 - 1
UDA
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
SIN
35%
29%
36%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SIN
4 - 1
ALC
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 1
SIN
20%
27%
54%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SIN
0 - 1
PER
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |