Mortágua vs AD Sanjoanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BUS
2 - 1
MOR
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
LUS
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
LUS
33%
25%
42%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
3 - 1
MOR
21%
22%
58%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CES
3 - 1
MOR
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
LUS
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
SAN
14%
18%
67%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
CES
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 2
SAN
20%
23%
57%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
LUS
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |