Mortágua vs Pombal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
52.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
MOR
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
MOR
78%
15%
8%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 2
NAV
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 0
MOR
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 2
MOR
70%
19%
12%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Pombal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
POM
2 - 1
NAV
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
3 - 1
POM
55%
24%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
POM
4 - 4
OLI
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 0
POM
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
POM
1 - 2
BEN
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |