Mortágua vs Pampilhosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
62.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 0
MOR
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 2
OLI
21%
23%
57%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
POM
1 - 2
MOR
79%
14%
8%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 2
CDT
34%
24%
42%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ALC
4 - 0
MOR
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
PAM
1 - 0
POM
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
PAM
3 - 0
CAR
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 2
PAM
19%
22%
59%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PAM
3 - 1
NAV
22%
23%
56%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PAM
1 - 3
SOU
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |