Mortágua vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIT
4 - 1
MOR
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
PAM
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 0
MOR
46%
26%
29%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 1
OLI
29%
25%
46%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
POM
4 - 1
MOR
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 0
SOU
44%
27%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 1
VIT
53%
24%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PAM
2 - 1
NAV
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
TOU
49%
27%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
OLI
3 - 1
NAV
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |