Mortágua vs Moimenta da Beira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
EST
3 - 1
MOR
35%
26%
40%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 2
ANA
34%
27%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
RDA
1 - 2
MOR
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
4 - 3
CES
37%
27%
36%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 0
GOU
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Moimenta da Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
MOI
0 - 0
GOU
34%
23%
44%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GON
2 - 0
MOI
64%
19%
16%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CES
1 - 0
MOI
62%
20%
19%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MOI
2 - 1
EST
18%
19%
63%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +3 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ANA
3 - 2
MOI
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |