Mortágua vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
53.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GAF
1 - 2
MOR
58%
24%
19%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 2
UDL
10%
20%
71%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
SER
19%
25%
56%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
RDA
0 - 1
MOR
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 3
ANA
18%
24%
58%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 0
SER
54%
24%
23%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
RDA
0 - 1
LUS
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
LUS
2 - 0
ANA
43%
26%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 4
LUS
22%
27%
51%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 2
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |