Mortágua vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
44.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
MOR
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
GAF
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
ANA
21%
21%
59%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LUS
3 - 0
MOR
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 2
CES
34%
23%
42%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 2
ANA
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LUS
4 - 3
LUS
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 1
CES
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BUS
3 - 2
LUS
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |