Mortágua vs Loures analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
59.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
9º
8º
25
11º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 82% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
7 - 1
MOR
58%
24%
18%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 0
MOR
41%
25%
35%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 2
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
UDL
2 - 0
MOR
72%
19%
9%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
SER
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 0
SAC
49%
27%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
OEL
0 - 2
LOU
76%
17%
7%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | +3 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SIN
0 - 1
LOU
59%
24%
18%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SAC
3 - 0
LOU
42%
28%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 0
OEL
13%
21%
67%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | +2 |