Mortágua vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
ANA
21%
21%
59%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LUS
3 - 0
MOR
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 2
CES
34%
23%
42%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
BUS
1 - 1
MOR
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
EST
28%
26%
47%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
GAF
0 - 1
EST
24%
26%
51%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ANA
2 - 1
GAF
63%
21%
16%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 0
OFR
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 1
GAF
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GAF
0 - 0
LUS
30%
27%
43%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |