Mortágua vs Estarreja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
OFR
1 - 2
MOR
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
MOR
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 2
SAN
20%
23%
57%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 1
MOR
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ANA
2 - 3
MOR
66%
21%
14%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Estarreja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
EST
4 - 2
ANA
35%
27%
39%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
EST
0 - 0
LUS
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CES
2 - 3
EST
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
BUS
77%
16%
7%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
EST
3 - 0
GAF
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |