Mortágua vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
45.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
GAF
2 - 1
MOR
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
SAN
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BUS
2 - 1
MOR
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
LUS
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
LUS
33%
25%
42%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
LUS
46%
26%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 2
CES
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
CES
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
GAF
52%
23%
26%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
CES
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |