Mortágua vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
42.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
BUS
1 - 1
MOR
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
EST
28%
26%
47%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
OFR
1 - 2
MOR
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
MOR
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 2
SAN
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CES
1 - 2
ANA
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
CES
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CES
2 - 2
GAF
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BUS
1 - 1
CES
15%
22%
63%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CES
2 - 3
EST
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |