Mortágua vs Águias do Moradal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 0
MOR
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 1
GAF
29%
26%
46%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
UDL
3 - 0
MOR
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
MOR
65%
21%
14%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 2
RDA
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ADM
1 - 0
SER
25%
25%
51%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
RDA
1 - 0
ADM
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ADM
2 - 1
ANA
20%
24%
56%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +3 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 0
ADM
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ADM
0 - 1
MAR
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |