Mortágua vs 1º Dezembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+77%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
9º
8º
47
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 77.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 22.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAB
0 - 2
MOR
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UDA
1 - 0
MOR
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
SER
20%
27%
53%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 3
MOR
21%
21%
58%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
4 - 0
LOU
17%
24%
59%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +6 |
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
1DE
2 - 0
UDA
24%
23%
53%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SER
1 - 2
1DE
60%
25%
16%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
1DE
2 - 1
ALC
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 1
1DE
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
1DE
4 - 0
PER
27%
27%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |