FA Cup 1/256
Global 2-4
Morpeth Town vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
43.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morpeth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
YOR
1 - 1
MOR
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 0
MOR
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MIC
0 - 4
MOR
34%
24%
43%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 1
RAD
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
RAD
1 - 3
MOR
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
YOR
1 - 1
MOR
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
YOR
3 - 1
SOU
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
YOR
2 - 0
WHI
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
YOR
0 - 1
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DAR
1 - 2
YOR
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |