Morpeth Town vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morpeth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
MOR
4 - 3
BOS
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
ASH
1 - 2
MOR
35%
26%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 2
RFC
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 0
WHI
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
SCA
1 - 1
MOR
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
BUX
3 - 3
WAR
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
SCA
2 - 1
BUX
23%
25%
53%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
BUX
2 - 3
RFC
80%
14%
7%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
MAT
2 - 1
BUX
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
BUX
1 - 2
UNM
70%
17%
12%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |