Moron vs Peñarroya Pueblonuevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
UDM
2 - 2
ESP
58%
22%
20%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 3
UDM
19%
23%
58%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
UDM
6 - 0
LAV
75%
16%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
COR
0 - 0
UDM
27%
24%
49%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
UDM
2 - 1
CIU
76%
16%
8%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarroya Pueblonuevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ALM
2 - 1
PEN
28%
23%
49%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PEN
4 - 1
COR
41%
24%
35%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ATC
4 - 3
PEN
25%
24%
51%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 1
LCF
44%
25%
31%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
UTR
3 - 1
PEN
75%
16%
9%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |