Moron vs Barbate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
SAN
1 - 0
UDM
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
JER
4 - 2
UDM
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
UDM
1 - 2
XER
29%
24%
46%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
AYA
3 - 1
UDM
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
UDM
4 - 1
OVA
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Barbate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
BAR
4 - 1
JER
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
AYA
2 - 1
BAR
78%
14%
9%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
BAR
3 - 1
BOL
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
ARC
6 - 0
BAR
81%
12%
8%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
BAR
3 - 1
VIC
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |