Swallows FC vs Bidvest Wits analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
SSU
0 - 0
SWA
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
COS
0 - 2
SWA
29%
29%
43%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SWA
1 - 1
AMA
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 1
SWA
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
SWA
0 - 1
BID
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bidvest Wits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
BID
0 - 1
COS
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BID
0 - 2
SUN
36%
24%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
AMA
2 - 0
BID
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BID
1 - 3
FRE
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
SUN
1 - 1
BID
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |