Swallows FC vs Thanda Royal Zulu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
BLA
1 - 3
SWA
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
SWA
3 - 1
BLO
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
SUN
1 - 3
SWA
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
GOL
1 - 0
SWA
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
SWA
1 - 4
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Thanda Royal Zulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
THA
1 - 2
AMA
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
FRE
2 - 2
THA
70%
19%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
THA
1 - 2
PLS
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 0
THA
68%
21%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
THA
0 - 1
SSU
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |