Swallows FC vs Santos Cape Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 2
SWA
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SWA
0 - 0
BLO
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 1
SWA
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 0
SWA
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
SWA
0 - 4
BID
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santos Cape Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 0
AMA
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 3
PIR
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 0
BID
45%
29%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
GOL
1 - 1
SAN
35%
28%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 0
SUN
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |