Swallows FC vs Mthatha Bucks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
EAG
3 - 2
SWA
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
SWA
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SWA
1 - 2
AMA
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MIL
5 - 0
SWA
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SWA
1 - 1
BLA
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mthatha Bucks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MTH
0 - 0
AMA
23%
28%
50%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
WIT
3 - 2
MTH
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
MTH
63%
23%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MTH
0 - 0
WAR
47%
25%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
MTH
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |