Swallows FC vs Cape Town City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BID
0 - 1
SWA
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
SWA
1 - 1
FRE
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
VAS
0 - 0
SWA
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
SWA
0 - 2
PIR
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
SWA
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cape Town City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
MPU
0 - 1
BLO
27%
28%
45%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
MPU
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
MPU
0 - 2
CHI
20%
27%
53%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
AMA
4 - 0
MPU
58%
24%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
MPU
0 - 2
AJA
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |