Swallows FC vs Marumo Gallants FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
WAR
4 - 1
SWA
34%
26%
41%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SWA
1 - 2
MTH
53%
23%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
EAG
3 - 2
SWA
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
SWA
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SWA
1 - 2
AMA
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Marumo Gallants FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 0
EAG
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
WIT
2 - 0
MIL
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
MIL
3 - 1
THA
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
MIL
42%
28%
31%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 0
ALL
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |